2020-10-27 · The Trafalgar poll was right on in every state in 2016 when all of the other polls except for Rasmussen were calling for a Hillary landslide.Fake news would have you believe this will be a Biden landslide when this election will be really tight no matter who wins.

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But the public's desire for insight and explanation about elections never 7 Nov 2018 House polls. Alaska At-Large District - Young vs. Galvin. Date, Poll, Candidates, Spread. Oct 26 – 25 Oct 2020 Findings from the Trafalgar Group give President Donald Trump an edge to win out three fiercely contested swing states come November 3rd. 31 Aug 2020 You need to decide between the ideology of hate, division, identity politics and 11 Dec 2017 Republican Roy Moore has widened his lead over Democrat Doug Jones, according to the most recent polls in the Alabama Senate race.

Trafalgar polls

2020-10-13 · The Trafalgar Group was one of the few pollsters that correctly predicted Trump’s victory in Pennsylvania in 2016 over Sec. Hillary Clinton. According to the analysts at FiveThirtyEight , Trafalgar Group polling favors Republicans by an average of 0.9% and has an overall C- grade. 2020-11-04 · In 2016, Trafalgar Group's poll was the only poll that had predicted Trump as the winner. While it was an unpopular poll and often trivialized and criticism when the results were announced, Cahaly turned out to be the only pollster who was right. 2020-10-27 · The Trafalgar poll was right on in every state in 2016 when all of the other polls except for Rasmussen were calling for a Hillary landslide.Fake news would have you believe this will be a Biden landslide when this election will be really tight no matter who wins.

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Polling Methodology. The Trafalgar Group delivers our polling questionnaires utilizing a mix of six different methods: Live callers. Integrated voice response.

Biden Polls Better Than Clinton, Obama 50 Days From Election. WSJ poll on How Prediction Markets Beat Polls Nate Silver Blasts Trafalgar Polls as "Crazy".

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Including leads, Democrat Jon Ossoff edges Perdue 49.1% to 48% with 2.1% undecided. Republican Kelly Loeffler 2020-10-14 De senaste tweetarna från @trafalgar_group That poll was conducted Oct. 11-13, 2020. For Arizona, Trafalgar asked the same question of 1,087 likely voters. In response, 47.8% said they would vote for Trump and 43.8% said they would vote for Biden. (Trafalgar Group, Arizona poll) That poll was conducted Oct. … And while Trafalgar, like all other pollsters, has been off a few times, they have a knack for calling the big upsets other pollsters don’t see coming. Ossoff leads Perdue ever so slightly in a few other polls but Trafalgar’s should raise the most eyebrows.
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NC Oct 31, 2020 Presidential Poll TOTALS (with leans) Donald Trump 48.6% Joe Biden 46.5% Jo Jorgensen 2.6% Someone Else 1.4% Undecided 1.0% See Report Here (CNS News) -- The Trafalgar Group polling firm, which was the only group to accurately predict a Donald Trump win in Michigan in 2016, and one of only a few firms that predicted a Trump 2016 win in Pennsylvania, gives Trump a slight lead today -- Election Day -- over Democrat Joe Biden in Florida, North Carolina, Arizona, Michigan, Wisconsin, Ohio, Georgia, and Pennsylvania.

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That said, Trafalgar is not the only contrarian voice in polling. Several other pollsters have joined it in arguing that other pollsters are missing pro-Trump voters. 2020-09-16 2020-11-04 2020-10-13 In the Pennsylvania poll, conducted Oct. 24-25, Trafalgar asked 1,076 likely voters, "If the election or president were held today, how would you vote?" (Trafalgar Group) In response, 46.7% of likely voters in Pennsylvania said they would vote for Trump; 45.8% said they would vote for Joe Biden -- roughly 1% difference between the two candidates.

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De senaste tweetarna från @trafalgar_group Overall, Trafalgar's Robert Cahaly sees another Trump win. “If it all happened right now,” he maintains, “my best guess would be an Electoral College victory in the high to 270s, low 280s.” The poll has Republican Loeffler comfortably ahead of her Democrat opponent Raphael Warnock by the margin of 50.2% to 45.3% when leaners are included. 4.6% are undecided. Without leaners included, Loeffler leads 47.5% to 42.4%, a similar margin. A new Trafalgar poll has Democrats leading in both key Georgia Senate races. Jon Ossoff leads Republican Senator David Perdue 50.4 - 47.4%. Raphael Warnock leads Republican Senator Kelly Loeffler 49.6% to 48.8%.

Michigan Statewide Poll, Trafalgar Group. In response, 46.5% said they would vote for Trump; 45.9% said they would vote for Biden. In the Florida statewide poll, conducted Oct. 11-13, Trafalgar asked 1,051 likely voters the same question asked in Michigan. Florida Statewide Poll, Trafalgar Group.

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That said, Trafalgar is not the only contrarian voice in polling. Several other pollsters have joined it in arguing that other pollsters are missing pro-Trump voters. 2020-09-21 · The Trafalgar Group’s survey of likely voters in the Keystone State shows Biden leading Trump by just over 2 points, 47.3%-to-44.9%, while 2.4% said they plan to back Libertarian presidential candidate Jo Jorgensen, 2.1% said someone else, and 2.3% remain undecided. In 2016, its first time publicly releasing polls, Trafalgar was the firm whose state surveys most effectively presaged Mr. Trump’s upset win. 2020-10-13 · The Trafalgar Group was one of the few pollsters that correctly predicted Trump’s victory in Pennsylvania in 2016 over Sec. Hillary Clinton.